Friday, 1 January 2016

EGYPT'S RECOMMENDED MILITARY OPERATION "DAESH PURGE" IN LIBYA


EGYPT MUST INVEST AND DESTROY ISIS IN SIRTE - LIBYA NOW
THERE ARE COMPELLING REASONS FOR EGYPT TO INTERVENE AND PREEMPT

As western countries ramp up strikes against ISIS's de-facto capital of Raqqa, Syria, the terrorist group is looking to Libya as a potential back-up option at which to base its operations, according to The New York Times.
While ISIS (also known as the Islamic State) has other affiliates throughout Africa and the Middle East that have pledged their allegiance to its leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the group's branch in Sirte is the only one that ISIS central leadership directly controls.
The Wall Street Journal reports that ISIS leaders in Libya have reportedly adopted a slogan that reflects Sirte's heightened profile within the jihadist organization: "Sirte will be no less than Raqqa."
 
 
 
The Sirte affiliate is also much closer to western Europe than ISIS's territory in Syria and Iraq:
 
 
 
 
 
ACTIVE ISIS FIGHTERS' PRESENCE IN SIRTE
 
 
ISIS's influence in Sirte has been growing over the past year, as it has evolved into what The Times describes as an "actively managed colony" of the central group. The growth has been swift — the Libya affiliate has gone from 200 fighters to about 5,000 since ISIS announced its branch there.
 
And Libya might be an ideal location for ISIS' fallback capital. The country lacks a functioning government and is rich in oil resources, which ISIS uses to finance its operations in Syria and Iraq, where it holds most of its territory.
 
         _______________________________________
 
LIBYA HAS NO CENTRALIZED AUTHORITY AND NO GOVERNMENT
 
 
Fathi Ali Bashaagha, a politician from Misrata, Libya, told The Journal: "We don’t have a real state. We have a fragmented government. Every day we delay on a political deal, it is a golden opportunity for Islamic State to grow." Rival governments in Libya agreed to a draft peace accord in October, but so far it has not been implemented, according to The Journal.  
 
As ISIS has accomplished in Syria and Iraq, the group is successfully exploiting "deep divisions" in Libya, according to The Journal. ISIS has encouraged sectarian hatred in Syria and Iraq to further divide the population and convince Sunni Muslims that they need ISIS to protect them from Shiites. Also as it did when it started seizing territory in Iraq and Syria, ISIS might also have its sights set on control of nearby oil fields.
 
 
Sirte is also being governed like other ISIS-controlled cities in the Middle East. The group has reportedly set up propaganda "media points" in the city and started imposing its strict laws, like requiring women to wear Islamic veils in public and permitting public executions.


TERRORIST group Boko Haram has sent hundreds of fighters to Libya to help Islamic State (ISIS) conquer the wartorn country…and their next stop could be EUROPE.


 

The Nigerian-based fanatics have dispatched up to 200 heavily armed troops to bolster ISIS forces in north Africa in a terrifying sign of the growing alliance between the two feared groups.
The terrorists have described Libya as the "gateway to Rome" and it is thought they are planning to stow away fighters on smugglers' boats full of migrants destined for Italy. 

ISIS PROPAGANDA IS SURPRISINGLY SOPHISTICATED
 
But ISIS also runs a sophisticated operation within the caliphate to brainwash the population it rules. The group has set up "media points" in the cities it controls to maximize the exposure of its propaganda to the public.
The media points are surprisingly high-tech. People can submit their own material or download media from machines that have built-in slots for SIM cards and flash drives. Large flat-screen TVs set up in public places show gruesome beheading videos alongside scenes of utopia. One activist from Raqqa, Syria, compared the screens ISIS has placed in central areas of the city to Times Square in New York — highly visible and well-known to those who live there.
ISIS also uses more old-school propaganda methods like blaring messages from speakers on trucks and hosting public beheadings.





An ISIS fighter hands out propaganda in queuing traffic in Sirte




 
"There's wall-to-wall propaganda in the caliphate. It's similar to North Korea," Charlie Winter, an expert on jihadism and ISIS propaganda, told Business Insider last month in London. "It obscures the realities of life and tempers discontent. It becomes a means of stabilization and continuous control."
Propaganda also serves to promote the ISIS brand — the group sets itself apart from other jihadist factions and terrorist organizations like al-Qaeda by casting itself as a legitimate government that provides services (like education, trash collection, and policing) to the people of the caliphate.
In tandem with blasting its propaganda out everywhere in the caliphate, ISIS — also known as the Islamic State — chokes off internet access to limit exposure to information from the outside world.


Nowhere is this sick philosophy more visible than the daily indoctrination of Jihadist children. 




"A majority of people don't believe [ISIS propaganda], but that coupled with a lack of any other information will impact thinking and decision-making," Winter said. "It's totalitarian politicking. You can really break down someone's ability to resist the state."

                __________________________________________

THE CRUCIAL ROLE OF EGYPT'S ARMED FORCES IN LIBYA

1. Egypt is next door to Libya. It shares a 1000 kilometres long border in the Western desert and what happened in Libya can spill over into the country.
2. Egypt cannot afford to wait until ISIS gain control of the whole or of large part of Cyrenaica.
3.It is a safe bet that ISIS who has $ millions of revenues a day (from selling oil at half price) can afford to hire  and pay rogue jet pilots mercenaries ( Saudis, Ukrainians, Americans, Pakistanis) to fly captured Libyan  MIG 23 fighter-bomber. 


Hiring pilots-mercenaries must at all cost be prevented. ISIS must never be allowed to have anything flying in the skies.



4. Egypt must not remain neutral & watch the flow of Tunisian foreign fighters crossing, literally on foot, the border to join ISIS. Tiny Tunisia - one of the most progressive Islamic country having outlawed polygamy and shut down religious schools - is also paradoxically THE LARGEST CONTRIBUTOR OF FOREIGN JIHADIST FIGHTERS estimated today at 9,000.

5. The recent execution in SIRTE of Egyptian Christian-Coptic technician by barbarous ISIS gives Egypt the perfect opportunity to strike back. 

Air strikes against IS positions have been conducted by the Egyptian air force and by Libya's internationally-recognised government. However, airstrikes ARE NOT ENOUGH TO CRUSH ISIS IN LIBYA. IT WILL REQUIRE NO LESS THAN A DECISIVE COMBINED ARMY-NAVY-AIRFORCE PUNITIVE INTERVENTION WHOSE OBJECTIVES MUST BE:
1. TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF SIRTE
2. OCCUPATION BY EGYPTIAN TROOPS OF A WIDE STRETCH OF BORDER LAND IN LIBYA AS A BUFFER ZONE.

            _________________________________________________________________

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO STRIKE HARD BECAUSE THOUGH JIHADISTS has tried to build up the city to mirror Raqqa — with bureaucratic buildings, a "police" force, and courts — ISIS is having a difficult time meeting the basic needs of the population "Gas stations and hospitals aren't functioning, and checkpoints make travel difficult".
As a civil engineer who recently fled told the media: "Sirte has gone dark."
           _____________________________________

Self-explanatory Egyptian Logo

EGYPT'S STRATEGY


1. A naval blockade and bombardment of the Gulf of Sirte
2. A three-pronged land assault
by 2 armored division


Egypt navy in action video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9BcHfVWX6d8

 





Egypt's NAVAL FLAG




EGYPT'S COMPOSITION OF AN ARMORED DIVISION


Briefly, a division is comprised of 15,302 active-duty soldiers. Another 417 reserve-component soldiers are integrated into the division when it’s deployed, which means a division has about 18,000 soldiers.

Egypt's main battle tank
M1A2 Abrams



The Army division will have three maneuver brigades -- one armored and two mechanized infantry. The armored brigade will have two armored battalions and one mechanized. Mechanized brigades will be two mechanized battalions and one armored. A battalion will four companies.

Each armored battalion is equipped with 45 modernized M1A2 Abrams tanks, and mechanized battalions has 45 new M2A3 Bradley OR MTB (Russian) fighting vehicles.

Individual soldiers still do not have the digital-communications systems, the American/British/Russian/French have, however.
aviation attack and aviation support battalions will have 15 AH-64 Apache Attack helicopters + 10 MI28 Russian and these have a digital-communications systems. 

The overall effect is the creation of a "Cooperative Virtual Environment" CVE which allows armored battalions to move to the right place on the battlefield more efficiently because it knows definitely where it is and how to get to the new location."
In today’s tactics, the commander of a battalion’s 45 tanks has a better visibility over the battlefield, he doesn't have to worry about that other direction any more. Now he can focus all his energy in one direction.
           ______________________________________

BATTLE PLAN FOR INVESTING THE TOWN OF SIRTE AND THE GULF OF SIDRA


OPERATIONAL MISSION
CALLED "DAESH PURGE"





FIGHTING UNITS
As mentioned the attack will be executed by 6 brigades (B1-B6),
1. Each maneuver Brigade with 45 battle tanks + 45 mobile fighter vehicles + 15 attack helicopters + 20 fighter-bombers



Assault plan
Sirte will be assaulted from 3 sides

EAST CENTER WEST

EAST: B1 & B2 will secure airports in BREGA & RAS LANUF along the coast line
CENTER: B3 + Libyan government forces will secure airports of SABHA
WEST: (the left hook) B4 & B5 will secure airports of MISRATA & BENI WALED with the 2 brigades posted in between

Brigade B6 in full alert in the CENTER at the town of HUN (north of Sabha) acting as a pivot ready to intervene in either directions.

 Egypt's F16 being refueled in air




NAVY - 2 destroyers + 4 missiles firing Frigates patrolling the Gulf of Sidra 10 miles off shore facing Sirte.





ORDER TO ALL EGYPTIAN FORCES IN OPERATION

1. STRIKE WITHOUT MERCY (Jihadists will show none)
2. NO PRISONERS TAKEN
3. EXCEPT (IF POSSIBLE) FOR CHECHENS & KOSSOVITES TO BE GIVEN IN SHCKLES TO RUSSIA

More Maps showing attainable objectives

Maps shows

BREGA & RAS LANUF OBJECTIVES (East)

MISRATA OBJECTIVE (West)









Showing SABHA OBJECTIVE (Center)












                  
                                            _____________________________

NOW IS THE TIME TO STRIKE AND STRIKE DECISIVELY

1. LIBYA IS A DIVIDED NATION
2. DAESH DEFEAT IN LIBYA WILL BE HAILED BY THE NEWLY FORMED 34 MOSLEM NATION COALITION AGAINST TERRORISM.


                
                                         _____________________________________

TOTAL NUMBER OF EGYPTIAN FORCES UNITS TAKING PART IN OPERATION "DAESH PURGE"

ARMY
1. SOLDIERS 30,000
2. TANKS 270
3. FIGHTING VEHICULES 270
AIR FORCE
1. FIGHTER BOMBERS 120
2. ATTACK HELICOPTERS 90
NAVY
1. DESTROYERS 2
2. FRIGATES 4
               ______________________________

N.B. THERE IS NO DOUBT IN MY MIND THAT UAE WILL GIFT EGYPT WITH AT LEAST 1$ BILLION.

Sunday, 15 November 2015

GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY FOR RUSSIA/USA COOPERATION TO DESTROY ISIS


THERE EXIST NOW A GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY FOR RUSSIA AND USA TO BREAK THE BACK OF ISIS IN SYRIA AND IRAQ AND GAIN THE GRATITUDE OF THE WORLD.



Both Russia and the U.S. look at the Middle East and THEY SEE THEMSELVES. The U.S. religion is democracy; they look at the Middle East and they think: “Oh, we can solve all those problems, give them democracy and then the swamps of terrorism will dry up, Salafism will be gone” The US mindset has failed in Afghanistan, in Iraq in Libya....Russia looks and says: Democracy doesn't work in Islamic societies “we need a strong man, there needs to be stability, or things will crumble”. Russia knows that Karimov of Uzbekistan & Assad of Syria thoygh secular leaders are also dictators, but “both are fighting the Islamists” and that's what counts for Putin “We need somebody strong”.

_____________________________________

I am now going to recommend a battle plan with specific objectives for each Russia and US, but first

 
PREAMBLE 1

Though the foreign ISIS fighters number approx 30,000 (Saudis, Tunisians, Pakistanis, Chechens, Kossovits, European Arabs, Jordanians, Syrians, Druzes, even a few hundred Egyptians) neither Russia nor the US will commit ground troops which means that both countries will use only airstrikes against specific targets.



PREAMBLE 2

America doesn't KNOW what to do in Syria. The country has a) no oil, gas reserves or mineral deposits and b) no geopolitical strategic importance “let Russia have Syria, it is of no consequence”, but it’s very difficult for the U.S., which has been used to being the superpower, the DECIDER, being the policeman of the world - to come to the understanding that it can’t do it, that it can’t be the Decider in places like Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria - and that’s very hard to relinquish that role to someone else, and particularly, to Russia; so they’re trying to keep everybody weak, they of course don’t want Assad to win, but they don’t want ISIS or Jaish al-Fatah to win either. Letting the swamp boil is probably what America’s policy will add up to in the end.


PREAMBLE 3

By contrast, Russia knows what to do in Syria: control of terrain, that is presently the key issue: how much ground is held and by WHOM. This is what matters, it is what will count at the second Vienna meeting. Putin doesn't believe that Assad will last long, but NOW is not the time for his departure, after ISIS is defeated YES.




                           
Click to enlarge to see how crucial the issue of Control of Terrain is ... In the end it is how much land is controlled in Syria and by WHOM.
                           









                                            ________________________________

THE BATTLE PLAN

A. RUSSIA
Russia war policy MUST be centered on what I call TRIPLE A: Aleppo + Airfield + Air strikes.



The city of Aleppo is only 5 minutes fly time from the Russian airfield at Latakia which means that they can launch 50-60 airstrikes a day. The Syrian Government forces aided by Iranian volunteers and Hezbollah must assault the city in 3 pronged fronts under the cover of continuous Russian strikes. Retaking Aleppo will of course boost Assad Government forces' prestige, but the world will know that such a victory would have been impossible without the sustained, unrelenting and accurate Russian airstrikes.

ALEPPO FOR RUSSIA

      

                                           ___________________________________

B. USA
The US war policy MUST be centered on what I call TRIPLE R: Raqqa + Ramadi (Iraq) + Raids.



Sunni Syrian Arab battalion firing at Raqqa.

Raqqa must be freed of ISIS which will be a crushing defeat for the depraved Islamists, that's why ISIS moved a convoy of nearly 100 military vehicles packed with arms, ammunition and fighters from the eastern countryside of Raqqa to one of the terror group's bases within the city. Fortification of the group's de-facto capital in Syria comes just a day after Kurdish YPG forces backed by U.S.-led coalition airstrikes wrested control of the town of Ain Isa. The tactical victory puts ISIS' formidable rivals just 55 kilometers (about 34 miles) away from the city of Raqqa.



Kurdish Peshmarga YPG formidable, pitiless sworn enemies of ISIS


First, however, expect the fight to be long, bloody and dangerous. A significant ground force composed of Kurds aided by Sunni Arab groups of composite fighters under a sustained US airstrikes could be required to expel Islamic State fighters, who are heavily armed and well dug in, and then free the city of 200,000 people.

As much as half the city could well be flattened in the battle. Assuming the city is reoccupied the nightmarish scenario of governing & preventing revenge killings would start almost immediately.

NOW THE QUESTION IS WHO WILL FREE RAQQA?

Right now, there doesn’t seem to be many interested in carrying out this difficult mission.
  1. It does not look like the Kurds are spoiling to take the largely Arab city.
  2. The United States will not be sending in significant ground forces to do the job.
  3. Turkey seems disinclined to send its forces across the border to wage war, particularly given Ankara’s hostility to most Kurdish insurgents.
  4. The various groups that make up the Free Syrian Army are far too weak to take on Islamic State directly.
  5. In addition, the coalition fighting against Islamic State is certainly not eager for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his Iranian backers to march back into the city.
                         __________________________________________

The only option is the destruction with heavy and sustained air stikes; but if US military advisors can somehow consolidate an effective ground offensive, it would regain its tarnished status as a major player in the future of Syria.
 
Coalition Bombers on a mission near Ramadi (Iraq)



RAQQA FOR USA

 
 
 
                                          ___________________________________

AFTERMATH

In Aleppo & Raqqa, once the shooting ends, any liberating military would quickly confront a significant infrastructure and refugee problem. This invariably would lead to the second big conundrum: the critical effort of providing an effective government.


Russian Sukhoi fighter/bombers over Syria
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

US F15 over Iraqi skies.

Wednesday, 4 November 2015

BRAVEPUTIN NOW CORNERED ... HAS TO CARRY THE FIGHT IN SYRIA AGAINST DAESH (ISIS) AND ONLY DAESH

I am reprinting my article POSTED on F/B SATURDAY OCTOBER 31, immediately after the Foreign Ministers of 15 nations met in Vienna the day before to come to a resolution to end the war in Syria.
 
BRAVE PUTIN HAS BEN CORNERED IN SYRIA





Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) greets his Syrian counterpart Bashar al-Assad upon his arrival for a meeting at the Kremlin in Moscow on October 21, 2015


Anyone who thought that the USA would sit with arms crossed while Russia is bombing the anti-Assad factions in Syria is deluded. The USA is militarily & economically the globe's SUPER POWER. Started to hail Russia as the saviour of the M.E. was optimistically premature. As much as I despise the Americans M.E. STRATEGIC AGENDA for the entire region, it would be foolish to ignore USA capabilities, in particular the old double standard tricks of getting the nose of camel into the tent. I expected the USA to take steps concomitant with its declared policy to support those who fight Assad and IT DID ... BRILLIANTLY by doing two very smart moves:
  1. Sending US military personal with order to supposedly fire back ONLY at ISIS is a cover-up. Its troops will be deployed on the ground held by the anti-Assad factions (Free Syrian Army + Al Nusra + Agnad Al Sham). In essence, to protect them from a) being targeted by Russian airstrikes and b) being overrun by any attempts of the Syrian Government Forces to reoccupy lost grounds.
  2. Announcing to give $100 millions to the Rebel Forces is a blunt message to Putin that the rebels will receive US high tech weaponry and that Russia may/will now face losses of equipment & lives.
  3. The USA knows that Putin will NOT risk a prolonged campaign with mounting losses.

John Kerry with Saudi Foreign Minister Abdel Jobeir



THE US HAS IN EFFECT BACKED PUTIN INTO A CORNER.

    _______________________________________________________


Putin now has only 2 choices:


  1. Carry the fight ONLY against DAESH (ISIS) IN SYRIA which was the official reason for Russia's intervention; in other words the US is now forcing him to make good on his morally based principles & intentions to defeat ISIS, though the REAL Russia's REASON WAS TO PROP UP THE REGIME OF ASSAD by smashing his enemies and regaining as much lost grounds as possible or
    2. HOLD the present ground (Port & Airport facilities) and wait for the planned Syrian November 
       election. 

PUTIN HAS BEEN OUTMANEUVERED IN SYRIA ... AND THAT IS PRECISELY WHAT I FEARED, HOWEVER HE STILL HAS A FEW OPTIONS, THOUGH LIMITED, TO ANCHOR RUSSIA'S PRESENCE IN THE M.E. (refer to end paragraph entitled WHAT RUSSIA MUST DO)

___________________________________________________

After the foreign ministers of 15 countries held an international meeting in Vienna, Austria, on Friday to resolve the years-long conflict in Syria, let's look at how does the USA vs Russia Balance Sheet in Syria/Iraq look like:


John Kerry with British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif during Vienna meeting


USA

  • NEUTRALIZED RUSSIA'S “KNOCK OUT PUNCH” BY ESCALATING MILITARY PRESENCE
  • RUSSIA GAVE AMERICA THE COMPELLING EXCUSE FOR PUTTING BOOTS ON THE GROUND WHICH, TO DATE, HAS BEEN MISSING DESPITE ITS BEST EFFORTS TO FABRICATE ONE
  • REBEL GROUPS ANTI-ASSAD BETTER ARMED
  • GROUPS ASSURED OF HOLDING CONTROL OF LARGE PART OF SYRIA
  • REGIME CHANGE SOON - ASSAD “OUT”
  • AMERICA’S ARMS PRODUCERS AND THEIR STOOGES IN CONGRESS ALL SALIVATING WITH JOY IN ANTICIPATION OF THE PROFITS THEY WILL REAP BOTH FROM THE DESTRUCTION AND THE SUBSEQUENT REBUILDING OF SYRIA.
    ______________________________________

RUSSIA
 
Meeting of 15 Foreign ministers in Vienna sponsored by Russia  to find solution to end war in Syria.







  • US HAS BEEN CAUGHT “FLAT-FOOTED” BY RUSSIA’S BOMBING CAMPAIGN IN SYRIA

  • RUSSIA INTERVENTION WAS NOT AN ILL-CONSIDERED, OFF THE CUFF RESPONSE BY AN ISOLATED LEADER, IT WAS INSTEAD WELL PREPARED MONTHS AHEAD

  • SYRIAN ARMY LESS DEMORALIZED AND REAPED A SHORT-TERM TACTICAL ADVANTAGE - RUSSIANS SUCCESSFUL
  • DRIVING FORCE FOR THE VIENNA MEETING - ANOTHER RUSSIAN SUCCESS
  • FORCED A CHANGE IN THE US M.E. STRATEGY THAT INCLUDED DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS TO FIND A POLITICAL SOLUTION TO THE SYRIAN CONFLICT – RUSSIAN SUCCESS
  • ABLE TO BRING TOGETHER REPRESENTATIVES OF US, KSA AND IRAN – YET ANOTHER SUCCESS
  • DESPITE LONG AIR & MARITIME LINES TO SYRIA MANAGED TO RESUPPLY ITS FORCES - A FEATHERED IN ITS CAP
  • ABILITY TO LAUNCH MILITARY CAMPAIGN FAR FROM ITS SHORES - ANOTHER FEATHERED IN ITS CAP

  • PROVED TO THE WORLD THAT MILITARILY RUSSIA IS NO LONGER A PAPER-TIGER

  • KERRY SPEAKING ABOUT WHAT THE US-CONTROLLED COALITION WILL AND WILL NOT ALLOW IN POST-WAR SYRIA IS MERE POSTURING
         _______________________________________________

Option for Russia


Military situation in the Syrian Civil War.   
Controlled by Syrian Government forces   Controlled by Kurdish forces (Rojava)   Controlled by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant   Controlled by al-Nusra Front   Controlled by Syrian opposition forces





Show the US that RUSSIA can also play the game of Opportunism and self-interest. A game which is indisputably the cornerstones of the corporatist ideology that now holds full sway in America. To this end here is:

___________________________________________

what Russia MUST DO Militarily and politically
 



 
 
 
Russian fighter jets over Syria


  1. Continue DAESH bombing campaign in Syria
  2. Convince Iran that Assad will eventually go
  3. Seek China involvement by asking it to provide 10-12 Chinese fighter-bombers & supply ammunition
  4. Cut off the supply line of ISIS between Iraq and Syria
  5. Accept Iraq request to bomb ISIS stronghold in Iraq
  6. After securing & coordinating joint agreement with US (who has 10,000 troops in Iraq)
            ______________________________________________


Conclusion

Since there is no prospect that the US will remove itself from the conflict, I would say that Russia’s direct involvement is, for the time being, preferable to it doing nothing, however unpredictable the ultimate consequences of Russia's involvement may be.

If it destroys ISIS & other Jehadists in both Syria & Iraq, Russia's intervention will have indeed STABILIZED THE WHOLE MIDDLE EAST and made it a principle stakeholder in a post-ISIS war.


    ____________________________________________________________________

ADDENDUM
 
 


My recommendation is for RUSSIA to execute immediately a COUNTER MEASURE feasible scenario that cannot be criticized by the US which can only watch as it unfolds. My scenario involves two (2) phases: A) military solution followed by B) political compromise.
         __________________________________________________
A) MILITARY SOLUTION – phase 1
  1. Pound DAESH - ONLY DAESH areas – with non-stop airstrikes
  2. Sustained & coordinated OFFENSIVE by Syrian Government Army to
  3. REOCCUPY all or at least most of the DAESH ground
In this scenario the Syrian government forces RECONQUER 2/3 of Syria.
Once accomplished, phase 2 start at once.
B) POLITICAL COMPROMISE – phase 2
  1. Announce a new POWER SHARING CONSTITUTION which will take into account the various major ethnic groups i.e.
  2. P.M. a SUNNI (pop. Majority)
  3. C-in-C of armed forces a KURD (Sunni)
  4. Chief of Police an Allaouite
  5. Mixte cabinet Ministers
  6. PRESIDENT becomes a figure head with no executive powers (Italy, India, Lebanon, others)
This new power sharing agreement will terminate the 40 year stranglehold control of Syria by the minority ALLAOUITES and ASSAD can remain a caretaker figurehead President for a short period before RETIRING.
 
Whatever happens to Assad, one thing is certain the steely grip of the minority (17%) Shia allaouites will be gone forever. Syria is 75% SUNNI ... numbers count and majority rules.
         ___________________________________________
THE TOTAL ELIMINATION OF DAESH (ISIS) IN SYRIA would satisfy BOTH USA & RUSSIA who can now claim “MISSION ACCOMPLISHED”.
1. Obama can now report to Congress that in accordance with stated US policy Assad has been clipped and is on the way out.
2. Putin can also take immense credit for having prevented the reconstruction of Syria and ensured the survival of the country's territorial integrity ... Syria would remain INTACT.

                ___________________________________________________
The losers will be Israel & Iran ... with Turkey as the odd man out.