Saturday, 20 February 2016

THE SEMINAL DECADE IN THE HISTORY OF THE MIDDLE EAST 1952-1961 EISENHOWER & NASSER


https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=1003676419655377
This is a video of a speech in Arabic given by President Nasser in 1966, after he read US PRESIDENT Dwight D. Eisenhower memoirs: Waging Peace, 1956-1961; The White House years Hardcover – January 1, 1965 . You will hear Nasser reveal to the audience that the USA intended to destroy SYRIA & INVADE IRAQ as early as 1957-58. INCREDIBLE BUT TRUE !


True b/c I read EISENHOWER memoirs in 1967 when I was working in Rome and so did Nasser who was, I found out later (internet) a voracious reader, unlike Sadat & Mubarak who weren't.

The video triggered my long desire to shed some light on a somewhat forgotten era of the US-EGYPT relation during the 50's between Eisenhower and Nasser. It was a seminal important decade which has affected the M.E. to this day!!!

Most of you under 50 have no conception & no memory of this vital period in the history of the Arab world. By contrast, I have lived and was a contemporary of the epoch. Let me put the 50's into perspective, specifically in the year 1955: in


-1 the only Arab country of importance was EGYPT (24 millions + Suez canal) - - 2 Iraq (6.4 millions) was totally controlled by GB with an inexperienced teenage King 
- 3 Yemen (4. 7 millions) was one of the most backward country with no schools - - 4 Syria (4.0 millions) agriculturally rich but divided into sectarian fiefs 
– 5 Saudi Arabia (3.5 millions) was an illiterate medieval country, no hospital or university, only $200 millions a year in royalties 
– 6 Libya (1.2 millions) was still an impoverished nation 
- 7 Jordan (800,000) was a desert Bedouin area with Amman about the size of one of Cairo average suburb 
– 8 the Gulfies are not even worth mentioning.

Such was the M.E. Countries in 1955.


What happened during 1952-1961 was momentous in the Arab world & the Middle East

1. Egypt becomes a Republic in 1953 - Saudi Arabia started a modest modernization plan in 1954 – Yemen coup against Imam (sovereign ruler) in 1955 - Great Britain/France/Israel attack Egypt in 1956 – Israel occupation of whole Sinai 1956- 57 - Eden resigns in Jan 1957 - Union between Egypt/Syria becomes UAR in 1958 – US marines invade Lebanon in 1958 (4 months) - Iraq becomes a Republic in 1958.

GAMAL ABDEL NASSER



Like many who belonged to the old regime, I grew up considering Nasser as an upstart & a dilettante leader, however much later after research and the advent of internet I realized that Nasser was neither. He was an ardent admirer of the US, its democracy & secularism, he genuinely wanted to modernize Egypt and alleviate the appalling poverty (80% of the population ate meat only twice a year when the landowner butchered lambs during Ramadan), he was in many ways a self-taught man. He also had an instinct for world politics & he was no one's fool.










The truth is that until 1956, the British still lord it over everybody, “God is an Englishman you know”. I know for a fact that all Egypt's intelligentsia, aristocracy & dynasty members hated the British, mixed with, when hearing that crisp British accent, a feeling of inferiority. To a British all Egyptians, without exception, were “WOGS”. (Most of you have no idea that until 1950-51 the GUEZIRAH SPORTING CLUB in Zamalek was exclusively reserved for British citizens and European whites only. The few upper-class Egyptians or Polo players were admitted as temporary Guests upon invitation). Nasser did not bow to anyone and that alone should make all Egyptians past & present remember him.

US relation with Egypt in the 50's
Through most of the 1950s, relations between the United States and Egypt were dominated by three individuals: Dwight Eisenhower, Foster Dulles and Gamal Abdel Nasser. Though the 2 Americans professed support, in principle, for the anti-colonialist nationalism Nasser represented, Eisenhower and Dulles were constrained by the fact that the United States was at the time a STATUS-QUO POWER, perhaps nowhere more than in the Middle East. Eisenhower overwhelming dogmatic preoccupation was to stop and reverse the spread of Communism. He was a soldier, not a politician, he did possess a military mentality, but he also was the ONLY President WHO SAID NO to Israel in 1958 (see further text)



Nasser found the status quo obnoxious, tilted, as he thought it was, to the advantage of the West and the disadvantage of Egypt; and he did all he could to right the balance. HE WAS RIGHT.

Largely because of their inability to fathom Nasser, Eisenhower and Dulles were unable to shape a consistent policy toward Egypt. As a consequence, U.S.-Egyptian relations during the eight years of the Eisenhower administration oscillated wildly, from relative amicability to spectacular contretemps that led to the decade's most astonishing fiasco and PERMANENTLY ALTERED THE FACE OF THE MIDDLE EAST.

Nasser told Dulles that Egypt's principal problem was not with the Russians, but with the British, who had occupied his country for seventy years. “How can I go to my people,” Nasser said, “and tell them I am disregarding a killer with a pistol sixty miles (British) from me at the Suez Canal to worry about somebody who is holding a knife (Russians) 5,000 miles away?” “The British are our enemy not the Russians”.

In Eisenhower's opinion, the importance of the Middle East lay primarily in its role as supplier of oil to Western Europe — to countries like Britain. The whole point of worrying about Soviet penetration of the Middle East was to ensure that Middle Eastern oil continue to flow to Britain and the other European allies. For Eisenhower, who had risen to world fame and launched a political career on his wartime exploits in the European theatre, Europe was always primary. The Middle East, Egypt included, was important, but only — or at least chiefly — insofar as events there affected the security of Europe.

NASSER WITH MARSHALL TITO OF YUGOSLAVIA & NEHRU PM OF INDIA 

           

Eisenhower's vision: the bipolar world of the Cold War. Eisenhower saw the world entirely within that Cold War framework: everything he did was about stopping Communism, for example:
  • On East Asia (p. 564): US relations with Formosa (now Taiwan): all about stopping a Communist Chinese takeover.
  • On Africa (pp. 579-81): US and UN relations with Africa: all about ensuring that colonialism was not replaced by Russian-aided Communism.
  • On Latin America (p. 539): US relations with the Organization of American States: all about stopping the spread of Cuban Communism.
And Eisenhower did not always keep the Cold War cold: he had plenty of "hot wars", most of which are not well-remembered today. For example:
  • 1956 Suez Crisis: The US aided Egypt against England and Israel (yes, we were on the OTHER side then!)
  • 1958 Lebanon Crisis: The US sent 14,000 troops into Lebanon, with 40,000 more offshore -- a major invasion, but for only a few months.
  • 1960: Early troops into Vietnam (yes, Eisenhower started it; JFK continued it; and LBJ escalated it).
  • 1961: Almost invaded Laos (Eisenhower was only president for one month in 1961, until JFK's inauguration, but considered invading).
The two lists above do not describe a record of "Waging Peace," as Eisenhower would have us believe from his title. His domestic policy accomplishments (the first list above) show that his intentions were good -- but his viewpoint was entirely colored by his military background. Eisenhower was a military general -- not a diplomat; not a legislator; not even really a politician -- so what else should we have expected?

                           _________________________________________

The Tripartite Aggression
The Sinai War

                                           
Also named the Tripartite Aggression and the Kadesh Operation, was an invasion of Egypt in late 1956 by Israel, followed by the United Kingdom and France
The aims were to regain Western control of the Suez Canal and to remove Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser from power. After the fighting had started, the United States, the Soviet Union, and the United Nations forced the three invaders to withdraw. The episode humiliated Great Britain and France and strengthened Nasser.
On October 29, Israel invaded the Egyptian Sinai. Britain and France issued a joint ultimatum to cease fire, which was ignored. On November 5, Britain and France landed paratroopers along the Suez Canal. The Egyptian forces were defeated, but they did block the canal to all shipping. It became clear that the Israeli invasion and the subsequent Anglo-French attack had been planned beforehand by the three countries.
The three allies had attained a number of their military objectives, but the Canal was now useless and heavy pressure from the United States and the USSR forced them to withdraw. U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower had strongly warned Britain not to invade; he now threatened serious damage to the British financial system. Historians conclude the crisis "signified the end of Great Britain's role as one of the world's major powers". Peden in 2012 states, "The Suez crisis is widely believed to have contributed significantly to Britain's decline as a world power." The Suez Canal was closed from October 1956 until March 1957. Israel fulfilled some of its objectives, such as attaining freedom of navigation through the Straits of Tiran.
As a result of the conflict, the United Nations created the UNEF Peacekeepers to police the Egyptian–Israeli border, British Prime Minister Anthony Eden resigned, Canadian Minister of External Affairs Lester Pearson won the Nobel Peace Prize, and the USSR may have been emboldened to invade Hungary.






The Tripartite Aggression
The Sinai War
Part of the Cold War and the Arab–Israeli conflict

Damaged Egyptian equipment
Date 29 October 1956 (1956-10-29) – 7 November 1956 (1956-11-07)
(1 week and 2 days)
(Sinai under Israeli occupation until March 1957)
Location Gaza Strip and Egypt (Sinai and Suez Canal zone)
Result
Egyptian political victory
Coalition military victory
    Anglo-French withdrawal following international pressure (December 1956)
    Israeli occupation of Sinai (until March 1957)



NASSER BLUF
Nasser bluffed when he closed the strait of Tiran, though he knew the army was neither ready nor prepared and most importantly he received ASSURANCE FROM FOSTER DULLES, the US Secretary of State that Israel and G.B. will not attack first. He believed the US affirmation.

                         ___________________________________________________










When an American President Said No to Israel

By Donald Neff

It was 39 years ago, on March 16, 1957, that Israel withdrew under unrelenting United States pressure from all the territory it had occupied in the Sinai peninsula during its invasion of Egypt less than five months earlier. As Israeli forces pulled out, they ignored pleas from United Nations Secretary-General Dag Hammarskjold and displayed their contempt for US President Dwight D. Eisenhower's policy by systematically destroying all surfaced roads, railway tracks and telephone lines. All buildings in the tiny villages of Abu Ageila and El Quseima were destroyed, as were the military buildings around El Arish.

Israel's dogged insistence on keeping by military occupation parts of the Sinai had led to increasingly tense relations between Eisenhower and Israeli Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion. From the very beginning of what became known as the Suez crisis, Eisenhower had forcefully opposed the secret plot by Britain, France and Israel to invade Egypt. Against great political pressures, Ike had managed to stop the ill-considered invasion – but not before Israeli troops grabbed Egypt's Sinai peninsula in a lightning surprise attack starting October 29, 1956.

Britain and France followed Eisenhower's firm advice and quickly removed their troops from Egypt. But Israel insisted on retaining parts of the peninsula. Despite repeated U.S. urgings, Ben-Gurion refused to withdraw Israeli troops. In retaliation, Eisenhower joined with 75 other nations in the UN General Assembly in passing a resolution on February 2, 1957, "deploring" Israel's occupation. Only two nations opposed: France and Israel.

Still, Ben-Gurion refused to move his troops. On February 11, Eisenhower sent a forceful note to Ben-Gurion to withdraw. Again Ben-Gurion refused. At the same time, the influence of Israel's supporters became intense. The White House was besieged by efforts to halt its pressure on the Jewish state; 41 Republican and 75 Democratic congressmen signed a letter urging support for Israel.

Donald Neff

'Terrific Control'

In reaction to mounting pressures against his policy, Eisenhower on February 20 called a meeting of the congressional leadership to seek their support for his position. But the lawmakers, sensitive to the influence of the Israeli lobby, refused to help, causing Secretary of State John Foster Dulles to complain to a friend: "I am aware how almost impossible it is in this country to carry out a foreign policy [in the Middle East] not approved by the Jews." In other conversations around the same time, Dulles remarked on the terrific control the Jews have over the news media and the barrage which the Jews have built up on congressmen ... I am very much concerned over the fact that the Jewish influence here is completely dominating the scene and making it almost impossible to get Congress to do anything they don't approve of. The Israeli Embassy is practically dictating to the Congress through influential Jewish people in the country.

Disgusted with Congress's timidity, Eisenhower boldly decided to take his case directly to the American people. He went on national television on the evening of February 20 and explained:

  • Should a nation which attacks and occupies foreign territory in the face of United Nations disapproval be allowed to impose conditions on its own withdrawal? If we agreed that armed attack can properly achieve the purposes of the assailant, then I fear we will have turned back the clock of international order.
If the United Nations once admits that international disputes can be settled by using force, then we will have destroyed the very foundation of the organization and our best hope of establishing world order. The United Nations must not fall. I believe that in the interests of peace the United Nations has no choice but to exert pressure upon Israel to comply with the withdrawal resolutions.

Not Words Alone EISENHOWER THE ONLY US PRESIDENT WHO SAID “NO” TO ISRAEL.


Ike did not depend only on words. While he expressed his principled position in public, privately that same day he sent a stern message to Ben-Gurion warning of punitive actions if Israel did not withdraw. Eisenhower threatened that he would approve trade sanctions against Israel and might also cut off all private assistance to Israel, which amounted to $40 million in tax-deductible donations and $60 million annually in the purchase of bonds. This combination of public diplomacy and private grit paid off. On February 27, Israel announced it accepted the U.S. position on withdrawal.

Although Zionists continue to criticize Eisenhower to this day, painting his policy as flawed and shortsighted, his actions in the Suez crisis represent one of the brightest, most principled victories of US diplomacy. Eisenhower had acted, as he later recalled, on the basis of his belief that "change based on principle is progress; constant change without principle becomes chaos." 

NASSER QUOTE ABOUT US FOREIGN POLICY























Egypt's late president Gamal Abdel Nasser and his wife Tahiya pictured in 1944 in their wedding outfits at a photographer's studio in Cairo. He was an army Captain then ( he was 6'2" & Tahia 5'10"

Friday, 1 January 2016

EGYPT'S RECOMMENDED MILITARY OPERATION "DAESH PURGE" IN LIBYA


EGYPT MUST INVEST AND DESTROY ISIS IN SIRTE - LIBYA NOW
THERE ARE COMPELLING REASONS FOR EGYPT TO INTERVENE AND PREEMPT

As western countries ramp up strikes against ISIS's de-facto capital of Raqqa, Syria, the terrorist group is looking to Libya as a potential back-up option at which to base its operations, according to The New York Times.
While ISIS (also known as the Islamic State) has other affiliates throughout Africa and the Middle East that have pledged their allegiance to its leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the group's branch in Sirte is the only one that ISIS central leadership directly controls.
The Wall Street Journal reports that ISIS leaders in Libya have reportedly adopted a slogan that reflects Sirte's heightened profile within the jihadist organization: "Sirte will be no less than Raqqa."
 
 
 
The Sirte affiliate is also much closer to western Europe than ISIS's territory in Syria and Iraq:
 
 
 
 
 
ACTIVE ISIS FIGHTERS' PRESENCE IN SIRTE
 
 
ISIS's influence in Sirte has been growing over the past year, as it has evolved into what The Times describes as an "actively managed colony" of the central group. The growth has been swift — the Libya affiliate has gone from 200 fighters to about 5,000 since ISIS announced its branch there.
 
And Libya might be an ideal location for ISIS' fallback capital. The country lacks a functioning government and is rich in oil resources, which ISIS uses to finance its operations in Syria and Iraq, where it holds most of its territory.
 
         _______________________________________
 
LIBYA HAS NO CENTRALIZED AUTHORITY AND NO GOVERNMENT
 
 
Fathi Ali Bashaagha, a politician from Misrata, Libya, told The Journal: "We don’t have a real state. We have a fragmented government. Every day we delay on a political deal, it is a golden opportunity for Islamic State to grow." Rival governments in Libya agreed to a draft peace accord in October, but so far it has not been implemented, according to The Journal.  
 
As ISIS has accomplished in Syria and Iraq, the group is successfully exploiting "deep divisions" in Libya, according to The Journal. ISIS has encouraged sectarian hatred in Syria and Iraq to further divide the population and convince Sunni Muslims that they need ISIS to protect them from Shiites. Also as it did when it started seizing territory in Iraq and Syria, ISIS might also have its sights set on control of nearby oil fields.
 
 
Sirte is also being governed like other ISIS-controlled cities in the Middle East. The group has reportedly set up propaganda "media points" in the city and started imposing its strict laws, like requiring women to wear Islamic veils in public and permitting public executions.


TERRORIST group Boko Haram has sent hundreds of fighters to Libya to help Islamic State (ISIS) conquer the wartorn country…and their next stop could be EUROPE.


 

The Nigerian-based fanatics have dispatched up to 200 heavily armed troops to bolster ISIS forces in north Africa in a terrifying sign of the growing alliance between the two feared groups.
The terrorists have described Libya as the "gateway to Rome" and it is thought they are planning to stow away fighters on smugglers' boats full of migrants destined for Italy. 

ISIS PROPAGANDA IS SURPRISINGLY SOPHISTICATED
 
But ISIS also runs a sophisticated operation within the caliphate to brainwash the population it rules. The group has set up "media points" in the cities it controls to maximize the exposure of its propaganda to the public.
The media points are surprisingly high-tech. People can submit their own material or download media from machines that have built-in slots for SIM cards and flash drives. Large flat-screen TVs set up in public places show gruesome beheading videos alongside scenes of utopia. One activist from Raqqa, Syria, compared the screens ISIS has placed in central areas of the city to Times Square in New York — highly visible and well-known to those who live there.
ISIS also uses more old-school propaganda methods like blaring messages from speakers on trucks and hosting public beheadings.





An ISIS fighter hands out propaganda in queuing traffic in Sirte




 
"There's wall-to-wall propaganda in the caliphate. It's similar to North Korea," Charlie Winter, an expert on jihadism and ISIS propaganda, told Business Insider last month in London. "It obscures the realities of life and tempers discontent. It becomes a means of stabilization and continuous control."
Propaganda also serves to promote the ISIS brand — the group sets itself apart from other jihadist factions and terrorist organizations like al-Qaeda by casting itself as a legitimate government that provides services (like education, trash collection, and policing) to the people of the caliphate.
In tandem with blasting its propaganda out everywhere in the caliphate, ISIS — also known as the Islamic State — chokes off internet access to limit exposure to information from the outside world.


Nowhere is this sick philosophy more visible than the daily indoctrination of Jihadist children. 




"A majority of people don't believe [ISIS propaganda], but that coupled with a lack of any other information will impact thinking and decision-making," Winter said. "It's totalitarian politicking. You can really break down someone's ability to resist the state."

                __________________________________________

THE CRUCIAL ROLE OF EGYPT'S ARMED FORCES IN LIBYA

1. Egypt is next door to Libya. It shares a 1000 kilometres long border in the Western desert and what happened in Libya can spill over into the country.
2. Egypt cannot afford to wait until ISIS gain control of the whole or of large part of Cyrenaica.
3.It is a safe bet that ISIS who has $ millions of revenues a day (from selling oil at half price) can afford to hire  and pay rogue jet pilots mercenaries ( Saudis, Ukrainians, Americans, Pakistanis) to fly captured Libyan  MIG 23 fighter-bomber. 


Hiring pilots-mercenaries must at all cost be prevented. ISIS must never be allowed to have anything flying in the skies.



4. Egypt must not remain neutral & watch the flow of Tunisian foreign fighters crossing, literally on foot, the border to join ISIS. Tiny Tunisia - one of the most progressive Islamic country having outlawed polygamy and shut down religious schools - is also paradoxically THE LARGEST CONTRIBUTOR OF FOREIGN JIHADIST FIGHTERS estimated today at 9,000.

5. The recent execution in SIRTE of Egyptian Christian-Coptic technician by barbarous ISIS gives Egypt the perfect opportunity to strike back. 

Air strikes against IS positions have been conducted by the Egyptian air force and by Libya's internationally-recognised government. However, airstrikes ARE NOT ENOUGH TO CRUSH ISIS IN LIBYA. IT WILL REQUIRE NO LESS THAN A DECISIVE COMBINED ARMY-NAVY-AIRFORCE PUNITIVE INTERVENTION WHOSE OBJECTIVES MUST BE:
1. TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF SIRTE
2. OCCUPATION BY EGYPTIAN TROOPS OF A WIDE STRETCH OF BORDER LAND IN LIBYA AS A BUFFER ZONE.

            _________________________________________________________________

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO STRIKE HARD BECAUSE THOUGH JIHADISTS has tried to build up the city to mirror Raqqa — with bureaucratic buildings, a "police" force, and courts — ISIS is having a difficult time meeting the basic needs of the population "Gas stations and hospitals aren't functioning, and checkpoints make travel difficult".
As a civil engineer who recently fled told the media: "Sirte has gone dark."
           _____________________________________

Self-explanatory Egyptian Logo

EGYPT'S STRATEGY


1. A naval blockade and bombardment of the Gulf of Sirte
2. A three-pronged land assault
by 2 armored division


Egypt navy in action video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9BcHfVWX6d8

 





Egypt's NAVAL FLAG




EGYPT'S COMPOSITION OF AN ARMORED DIVISION


Briefly, a division is comprised of 15,302 active-duty soldiers. Another 417 reserve-component soldiers are integrated into the division when it’s deployed, which means a division has about 18,000 soldiers.

Egypt's main battle tank
M1A2 Abrams



The Army division will have three maneuver brigades -- one armored and two mechanized infantry. The armored brigade will have two armored battalions and one mechanized. Mechanized brigades will be two mechanized battalions and one armored. A battalion will four companies.

Each armored battalion is equipped with 45 modernized M1A2 Abrams tanks, and mechanized battalions has 45 new M2A3 Bradley OR MTB (Russian) fighting vehicles.

Individual soldiers still do not have the digital-communications systems, the American/British/Russian/French have, however.
aviation attack and aviation support battalions will have 15 AH-64 Apache Attack helicopters + 10 MI28 Russian and these have a digital-communications systems. 

The overall effect is the creation of a "Cooperative Virtual Environment" CVE which allows armored battalions to move to the right place on the battlefield more efficiently because it knows definitely where it is and how to get to the new location."
In today’s tactics, the commander of a battalion’s 45 tanks has a better visibility over the battlefield, he doesn't have to worry about that other direction any more. Now he can focus all his energy in one direction.
           ______________________________________

BATTLE PLAN FOR INVESTING THE TOWN OF SIRTE AND THE GULF OF SIDRA


OPERATIONAL MISSION
CALLED "DAESH PURGE"





FIGHTING UNITS
As mentioned the attack will be executed by 6 brigades (B1-B6),
1. Each maneuver Brigade with 45 battle tanks + 45 mobile fighter vehicles + 15 attack helicopters + 20 fighter-bombers



Assault plan
Sirte will be assaulted from 3 sides

EAST CENTER WEST

EAST: B1 & B2 will secure airports in BREGA & RAS LANUF along the coast line
CENTER: B3 + Libyan government forces will secure airports of SABHA
WEST: (the left hook) B4 & B5 will secure airports of MISRATA & BENI WALED with the 2 brigades posted in between

Brigade B6 in full alert in the CENTER at the town of HUN (north of Sabha) acting as a pivot ready to intervene in either directions.

 Egypt's F16 being refueled in air




NAVY - 2 destroyers + 4 missiles firing Frigates patrolling the Gulf of Sidra 10 miles off shore facing Sirte.





ORDER TO ALL EGYPTIAN FORCES IN OPERATION

1. STRIKE WITHOUT MERCY (Jihadists will show none)
2. NO PRISONERS TAKEN
3. EXCEPT (IF POSSIBLE) FOR CHECHENS & KOSSOVITES TO BE GIVEN IN SHCKLES TO RUSSIA

More Maps showing attainable objectives

Maps shows

BREGA & RAS LANUF OBJECTIVES (East)

MISRATA OBJECTIVE (West)









Showing SABHA OBJECTIVE (Center)












                  
                                            _____________________________

NOW IS THE TIME TO STRIKE AND STRIKE DECISIVELY

1. LIBYA IS A DIVIDED NATION
2. DAESH DEFEAT IN LIBYA WILL BE HAILED BY THE NEWLY FORMED 34 MOSLEM NATION COALITION AGAINST TERRORISM.


                
                                         _____________________________________

TOTAL NUMBER OF EGYPTIAN FORCES UNITS TAKING PART IN OPERATION "DAESH PURGE"

ARMY
1. SOLDIERS 30,000
2. TANKS 270
3. FIGHTING VEHICULES 270
AIR FORCE
1. FIGHTER BOMBERS 120
2. ATTACK HELICOPTERS 90
NAVY
1. DESTROYERS 2
2. FRIGATES 4
               ______________________________

N.B. THERE IS NO DOUBT IN MY MIND THAT UAE WILL GIFT EGYPT WITH AT LEAST 1$ BILLION.